Week 2 picks
Opening Balance: +10 units
Oakland +11.5 bet 5 units
Cleveland +10.5 bet 5 units
Carolina -2.5 bet 10 units
St Louis -3.0 bet 10 units
Dallas -5.5 bet 5 units
total bet = 35 units
Comments - In the first week, everyone is making decisions based on little or no information - or to say it another way - on bad information.
In week 2, we now have 1 week of good information, and everyone over-reacts. Yes Oakland looked bad, and Baltimore looked good. Baltimore beat an NFC team, and Oakland lost to a good AFC team. I agree Baltimore is the favorite, but 11.5 points is a lot of points. Both these teams will drift toward the center - Oakland is not that bad, and Baltimore is not that good.
Cleveland / Cincy - these 2 rivals play close games. 10.5 is a lot of points.
Carolina is a very good team, and Minny is a very bad team.
St Louis showed they are the real deal, and San Francisco is rated at or near the bottom of the NFL until they prove otherwise. Some teams play down to the level of the opponent, but not St Louis.
Dallas is not that great - but I have Washington at the bottom of the NFL until they can prove otherwise.
Power Ratings
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posted by Phil Rice @ 6:42 PM
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