tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-343694392011-04-21T18:36:39.397-07:00Weekly NFL picks against the spread, with a running tab.Phil Ricehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03130403155289895674noreply@blogger.comBlogger21100tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34369439.post-1158199510780138682006-09-13T18:42:00.000-07:002006-09-13T19:05:10.796-07:00<span style="font-size:180%;">Week 2 picks</span><br /><br />Opening Balance: +10 units<br /><br />Oakland +11.5 bet 5 units<br />Cleveland +10.5 bet 5 units<br />Carolina -2.5 bet 10 units<br />St Louis -3.0 bet 10 units<br />Dallas -5.5 bet 5 units<br /><br />total bet = 35 units<br /><br />Comments - In the first week, everyone is making decisions based on little or no information - or to say it another way - on bad information.<br /><br />In week 2, we now have 1 week of good information, and everyone over-reacts. Yes Oakland looked bad, and Baltimore looked good. Baltimore beat an NFC team, and Oakland lost to a good AFC team. I agree Baltimore is the favorite, but 11.5 points is a lot of points. Both these teams will drift toward the center - Oakland is not that bad, and Baltimore is not that good.<br /><br />Cleveland / Cincy - these 2 rivals play close games. 10.5 is a lot of points.<br /><br />Carolina is a very good team, and Minny is a very bad team.<br /><br />St Louis showed they are the real deal, and San Francisco is rated at or near the bottom of the NFL until they prove otherwise. Some teams play down to the level of the opponent, but not St Louis.<br /><br />Dallas is not that great - but I have Washington at the bottom of the NFL until they can prove otherwise.<br /><br /><a href="http://www.mkgappraisal.com/nfl_power.htm">Power Ratings</a><br /><br />This post is sponsored by: <a href="http://mkgappraisal.com/blog/feed">phil.rice</a> is less.than.perfect and the <a href="http://www.elizabeth-butler-cr00001772.com/signs/real_estate_signs.htm">real estate yard signs</a> <a href="http://www.elizabeth-butler-cr00001772.com/rss/realestatesigns.xml">blog</a> and webpage.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/34369439-115819951078013868?l=nfl-against-the-spread.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Phil Ricehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03130403155289895674noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34369439.post-1158197647758635612006-09-13T18:29:00.000-07:002006-09-13T18:34:07.766-07:00this is the first post - lets see what happens.<br /><br /><a href="http://www.mkgappraisal.com/nfl_power.htm">Power Ratings<br /></a><br /><a href="http://mkgappraisal.com/blog/2006/09/09/nfl-picks-week-1/">Week 1 picks</a><br /><br /><a href="http://mkgappraisal.com/blog/2006/09/11/nfl-week-1-results/">Week 1 results</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/34369439-115819764775863561?l=nfl-against-the-spread.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Phil Ricehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03130403155289895674noreply@blogger.com0